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Pigskins and Ponies: Live NFL Underdogs, Talented 2-Year-Old

Outside of a -1 turnover margin (a pick six), the Giants outplayed a very good Jaguars team, while Dallas struggled mightily on the offensive side versus the Carolina Panthers. I just don’t see those issues correcting in just a few short days here.  New York has advantages on both sides of the ball, and they have an excellent shot at winning this game.  Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos Over 45.5 (-110): We spoke on the side above, but the total here is also intriguing. Denver had success through the air last week against Seattle and, if it wasn’t for turnovers, they may have scored 35-plus. On the back end of Denver’s defense, Seattle found receivers running wide open. Oakland may have one of the least-talented secondaries in the league, while also failing to generate pressure. That’s a bad combination. Throw in the fact we could have some turnovers in this game with the two starting quarterbacks throwing six interceptions combined last week, and this number offers some value. LSU goes into Auburn for one of the biggest games of the weekend. This line opened Auburn -8.5 before slowly rising to the current price. LSU, though impressive on the scoreboard, still needs to show me something offensively, and this matchup doesn’t suit that desire. Auburn’s front seven is very strong, and even though the total is low (44.5), the favorite has value.

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Poker Strategy With Ed Miller: Anchoring And Bet Sizing

Ed Miller When the bets get bigger, they lose their intuition, start making mistakes, and potentially end up getting stacks in bad. What I do is I look for situations where I can make extra-large bets and it’s unlikely to hurt me. One common situation is where I am in position and have a much stronger hand range than my opponent is marked with. This comes up often on the turn when a card I know is bad for my opponent’s range hits. When I bet, I know that my opponent is very likely to fold. And if he calls I’m still likely to be in fine shape with position and one betting round to go. It really doesn’t matter then much how much I bet in this situation—the outcomes run fairly close together in value for me. So I’ll throw out a big bet and announce the size verbally. The goal isn’t to get anything to happen on this hand. I’m likely going to get a fold and win a modest pot.

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